According to industry experts, China's service robots still rely heavily on imports in the high-end sector, and over 90% of enterprises are concentrated in the downstream of the industry.
The Disney movie "Super Marines", which touched countless people, described Xiao Hong's help with the robot "Big White", forming a high-tech battle team with friends, looking for the story of his brother's death and fighting the bad guys. Many people shouted: How good is this "healing" robot if it really can appear in reality!
Now, it is no longer just a product of human imagination. With the evolution of technology, service-oriented robots that can meet human needs have leapt to the mainstream of new technology development. Hundreds of Chinese companies have already entered the service robot market. However, Zhao Jie, director of the Institute of Robotics at Harbin Institute of Technology, said frankly: "The robot is now speculating a lot of concepts. These concepts are good for the development of this industry and this field. It is really hard to say."
The status quo, the service robot market has entered a stage of rapid growth
Zhou Jingming, director of China Machinery Industry International Cooperation Consulting Service Center, said that in terms of annual output value, China's service robot industry is just getting started, but its stamina will exceed industrial robots. "The industry generally believes that 2016 is the first year of China's service robot development."
In the classification of the International Robot Alliance (IFR), robots are generally divided into industrial robots and service robots. Industrial robots emerged in the 1960s, and service robots did not appear until the 1990s. At present, global robots are mainly industrial robots, accounting for 80% of the total market.
According to a report released by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology in May this year, the Chinese service robot market has entered a stage of rapid growth. It is estimated that by 2020, the annual sales revenue of service robots is expected to exceed 30 billion yuan. And service robots have an impact on almost all industries, and their derivative value is even more difficult to calculate. According to IFR forecasts, global sales of personal/home service robots will reach 25.9 million units in the period of 2015-2018, and the market size will reach US$12.2 billion, which is more than five times the market size in 2014.
In fact, since the birth of the world's first robot in 1954, the world's industrialized countries have established a complete industrial robot industry system. At the same time, service robots are developing rapidly and their applications are becoming more widespread. In 2007, Bill Gates wrote an article prophesying that robots will enter every household, like the personal computer 30 years ago, to completely change the way people live.
Hi, 360 lines, can be served
The beautiful robot "Jiajia" bionic beauty and delicate facial expressions attracted a large number of tourists to stop; "Wang Yangming" high simulation robots show calligraphy, dragon and phoenix dance freely; badminton robots automatically sense the ball's landing point, will play You can't catch up; the Dutch robots can recognize different terrains through their own systems, and can complete active obstacle avoidance, self-opening, perceptual external loading, handling, up and down ladders and other difficult movements... This is the 2016 world held in Beijing last week. Various concepts and various types of service robots exhibited at the Robot Conference.
It is not difficult to see from the exhibition that the service robot has been rapidly developed due to the domestic demand and the government's strong support, and it has become a hot spot for investment. With the success of major industry events, robot concept stocks have begun to make a fuss. Currently, nearly 60 robotic concept stocks have risen. Leading concept stocks include robots, Baode shares, and games for intelligence.
Although the concept of service robots seems to be unfamiliar, most people come into contact with robot concepts in the commercial field, starting with service robots—from the earliest shopping robots to today’s Net Hongxian two machines, all representative of service robots. . International Robot Alliance President Baroncelli said that in the next three years, service robots will grow rapidly, and there will be more than 15 million different types of service robots worldwide.
Beginning in 2016, service robots began to expand into multiple industries and began to show the trend that robots can do 360 lines in the future. According to industry experts, service robots have been applied in several industries this year: First, in the pavilion, robots can be used as narrators and tour guides in the venues; they can also be used as guides in shopping malls, like promotions. The staff is as attractive as the people, never tired of introducing the goods; you can also ask you to scan the QR code and output the promotional information; there is also a focus area is the bank, and now many service banks are using service robots for service and guidance. application. In two to three years, service robots will enter more fields to serve humanity.
Qu Daokui, deputy director of the National Engineering Research Center for Robotics, said that unlike industrial robots, service robots need to have a strong "brain." Through deep learning, robots can take different contingency measures for different scenarios, which requires the robot sensor to have cognitive and perceptual capabilities.
Worry, highly "homogeneous" most companies at the low end
The service robot is indeed a blue ocean, and chat robots, educational robots, medical robots, etc. paint a beautiful blueprint for entrepreneurs. However, in the initial stage of industrialization, it faces more challenges.
At present, many service robots are still weak in functionality, such as large size, slow motion, and high error rate, which makes it impossible to solve user requirements at low cost. In addition, service robots also face the security and ethical issues of human-machine collaboration and interaction.
In addition, the service robots circulating in the market began to appear "homogeneous" phenomenon, the products of different enterprises are difficult to distinguish, and the application scenarios of robots are relatively simple. Whether the service robot industry will also usher in such a brutal shuffle as the Android mobile phone industry is a problem that robot practitioners must think about.
From an industry perspective, robotics and applications have strategic value in the future competition, but at present, China's high-end robots rely heavily on imports. The market share of domestic robots only accounts for about 30%, mainly at the low end of the industry, and the lack of independent brands. There is still a big gap in the research and development of key components such as controllers, high-precision reducers and drives.
"The upstream of the robot industry is the core component, which is equivalent to the brain. In this field, China basically relies on imports. The middle game is the robot body, which is the robot body. The downstream is the system integrator. At present, 95% of the domestic enterprises are concentrated in this. Link," Qu Daokui said.
In order to truly enter the mature stage of the service robot industry, the robot must be well integrated into the human environment. This requires the robot to no longer interact with programming as in the past, and must try other interaction methods. Therefore, there is still a long way to go in the future of service robots.
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