The artificial intelligence market has broad prospects. Can China bend overtaking?

Although the United States has been at the forefront of basic research in artificial intelligence, China has quietly begun to "overtake." The rising Chinese are reluctant to accept the position of "catch-up" in the field of science and technology.

Artificial Intelligence, Microsoft, Google, Android, Smart Manufacturing and Industry 4.0


The artificial intelligence market has broad prospects. Can China bend over the road?

The creators of the AlphaGo computer program have recently reported that their software has learned to navigate the complex subway lines like London natives. Technology and the market are advancing, and companies competing for competition are like the best. Artificial intelligence is becoming an important entry point for data, services, and products to access human life, but the industry is still deeply weak in many research "blind spots." It is foreseeable that artificial intelligence itself has a long way to go before people can or should hand over the world to artificial intelligence.

Artificial intelligence also has the value "Can you prove that your system, no matter how smart, will not rewrite the original goal set by humans within the system?" The rapid development of artificial intelligence has intensified the Center for Artificial Intelligence Systems at the University of California, Berkeley. The founder and professor of computer science, Russell, is worried.

Not only is Hollywood's ability to render artificial intelligence threatening humans, a large number of respected scientists and engineers, like Russell, have a lasting assumption on whether humans will eventually create a highly intelligent system that will rule or destroy themselves. discuss.

Regardless of whether artificial intelligence generates self-awareness like humans, in the past few years, "value" has become an important indicator for defining human-level artificial intelligence parameters, making machines not stupid and beneficial to humans.

Even the hypothetical situation of human beings' dilemma thinking experiment "tram puzzle" has been repeatedly mentioned when discussing the future development of autonomous vehicles. People hope that autonomous vehicles can make automatic and correct decisions about morality and ethics. .

"Artificial intelligence is just a way of imitating human beings. Is there a 'super-intelligence'? What human beings should do to limit or survive with artificial intelligence, and there is no solution for the time being." Shen Xiangyang, executive vice president of Microsoft, was interviewed by Science and Technology Daily. Said.

"Although AlphaGo is already there, we don't have a program that can understand and fully understand a paragraph or even a sentence." Shen Xiangyang believes that although artificial intelligence has made rapid progress on the perceptual level, there is no breakthrough in cognitive level. . Maybe in the next 5 years, its voice recognition ability, the future 10 years of visual ability has hopes more than humans, but the understanding of natural language is at least 20 years, or even longer, because the industry does not know how to "how" Modeling."

Hong Xiaowen, senior vice president of Microsoft and chairman of Microsoft Asia Pacific R&D Group and president of Microsoft Asia Research Institute, believes that although computers can perform certain tasks, it does not mean that computers can truly understand these tasks. Today's artificial intelligence is almost all of this. Class, the artificial intelligence at this stage is still very weak.

Shen Xiangyang said: "At present, artificial intelligence is like a child of four or five years old. We just unveiled the corner of all the possibilities related to it. The future related to it cannot be completely accurately described. Artificial intelligence still has a long time. The road is going."

Tomorrow is really "their" <br> <br> how to correctly understand artificial intelligence in our own sense, Hon view is: "We should be worried about, not artificial intelligence will be strong enough to subvert the human domination, but even Artificial intelligence has been highly anticipated by many leading companies in the industry, and resources are not accelerated. R & D, technological advances in related fields are still not enough to incubate real killer applications."

However, no matter how uncertain the future is, artificial intelligence is rapidly moving from the laboratory to the reality and the mainstream, becoming a new value high.

According to market research firm Marketsand Markets, the artificial intelligence market will grow from $420 million in 2014 to $5.05 billion in 2020. According to research firm Gartner, it is estimated that in 2018, there will be 6 billion devices in the world using artificial intelligence technology.

In this prospect, innovation and entrepreneurship with artificial intelligence are becoming more and more active. According to surveys, as of 2015, there are 855 global artificial intelligence start-ups, spanning 13 categories, with a total valuation of more than 8.7 billion US dollars. In the past three years, Kai-Fu Lee’s “Innovation Workshop” has invested more than $100 million in 25 AI start-ups in China and the United States.

In addition to the industrial application scenarios, Google, Microsoft, Apple, Baidu and other "chat bots" have brought the distance between artificial intelligence and ordinary people. Although most chat bots are not mature now, according to BusinessInsiderIntelligence, the use of chat applications has surpassed that of information-based social networks.

In this regard, Tencent Technology senior reporter Guo Xiaofeng believes that chat robots can best represent the commercial exploration of artificial intelligence. Compared with wearable devices, VR and AR products, driverless cars, and smart home appliances, “conversation” is a more natural and convenient way of human-computer interaction than keyboard and mouse and finger touch.

When artificial intelligence that is good at dialogue is stationed in various new devices, it will subvert the current mobile application and become a new service that will serve the basic services and contacts with users.

Although just starting, Microsoft Xiaobing and Eastern Airlines, JD.com, and Lawson of Japan have cooperated in the artificialization of the artificial intelligence industry. This has made the original personal chat channel begin to show a wide range of dimensions and application potential in enterprise applications.

Hong Xiaowen said: "In the future, any great cause we have done will benefit from HI AI (Human Intelligence Artificial Intelligence). Artificial intelligence is working with machine learning and big data to form a technology that can change the future 'iron triangle'. In the near future, this 'iron triangle' will be able to completely change people's living patterns and business landscapes like the PC Internet." "China Power" in the AI ​​world

Although the United States has been at the forefront of basic research in artificial intelligence, China has quietly begun to "overtake." The rising Chinese are reluctant to accept the position of "catch-up" in the field of science and technology.

The recent report of the National Artificial Intelligence Research and Development Strategy Plan released by the White House in the United States said that from 2013 to 2015, the articles in the SCI papers mentioned that the "deep learning" article has increased by about 6 times, while emphasizing "According to the number of articles, the United States is no longer the world's number one."

From the articles included in SCI and the additional conditions of “at least one quoted article”, China surpassed the United States in 2014 and 2015, ranking first among runners.

Starting from the webofScience keyword, covering all scientific research fields related to artificial intelligence, Wang Qigang, deputy dean of the Innovation Workshop Artificial Intelligence Engineering Institute, made a statistics. Among them, in the period from 2006 to 2016, among the nearly 20,000 top-level artificial intelligence articles, the number of articles contributed by the Chinese and the number of citations accounted for 29.2% and 31.8% of the total figures, respectively. In the past ten years, the Chinese have contributed an average of 30% of the top artificial intelligence research articles and cited numbers by about one-fifth of the authors.

"From a statistical point of view, this set of data has exceeded the average scientific research contribution." Wang Yigang said, "Chinese and Chinese are everywhere in the field of artificial intelligence. Google's research team, Microsoft Research Institute is everywhere in China. The faces of people and Chinese."

Not only in the academic field, but now, Chinese companies have already competed with global competitors, including the United States.

In the list of 50 "smartest" technology companies recently selected by the MIT Technology Review, many Chinese companies surpassed Japanese and Korean companies in the forefront, Baidu (second place) and Huawei (Tenth) Entering the top ten, in 2014, no Chinese company entered the top ten.

Especially in the field of speech recognition, Chinese companies are at the forefront. Founded in 1999, Science and Technology News is known for its high-accuracy speech recognition. Baidu and Stanford University and the University of Washington used Baidu's deep speech recognition technology DeepSpeech2 to conduct "human-machine battles" with 32 testers. The results show that Baidu's self-developed speech recognition software has reached 3 times the speed of recognizing English and has a lower error rate.

Kai-fu Lee said that considering the huge reserves of artificial intelligence talents, excellent engineer cultivation system and huge potential market, China will almost certainly become a leader in artificial intelligence.

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